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Red38
11888.1
612014.4
566020.4
Blue113
546042.2
721124.8
50328.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3611305010015020038113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5660
#21
20.40.2
19.519.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.9
End0.9
blue by 21.9
42.20.1
41.541.4
Auto14.1
Teleop27.5
End0.6
Second
6120
#14
14.40.2
14.113.9
Auto7.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 14.4
503
#22
28.80.1
31.130.9
Auto12.6
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Third
1188
#32
8.10.2
7.97.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 16.7
7211
#15
24.80.1
20.420.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed