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Red14
366711.1
436227.4
283417.2
Blue61
213725.3
99975.7
49426.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806301001502002503001461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#26
27.43.7
31.127.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End3.5
red by 0.5
494
#7
26.90.1
27.927.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Second
2834
#18
17.23.7
21.117.4
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End4.5
blue by 8.0
25.30.1
25.525.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Third
3667
#39
11.13.7
17.714.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
red by 5.3
9997
#36
5.70.2
9.79.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsEarned