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Red83
721124.8
233731.4
778414.3
Blue45
99975.7
150214.1
705625.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7955020401001201408345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.41.0
32.133.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.9
End3.4
red by 5.5
7056
#28
25.80.7
29.728.9
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End1.1
Second
7211
#15
24.81.0
20.321.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End3.0
red by 10.7
1502
#37
14.10.7
17.116.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Third
7784
#29
14.31.0
16.217.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
red by 8.6
9997
#36
5.71.2
9.48.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed