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Red71
213725.3
168425.9
584326.3
Blue49
654819.6
49426.9
11888.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84600501001502007149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.1
23.423.3
Auto10.3
Teleop15.0
End1.0
blue by 0.6
494
#7
26.90.5
27.827.2
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Second
1684
#25
25.90.1
23.923.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End1.2
red by 6.4
6548
#34
19.60.5
21.821.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Third
25.30.1
25.325.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 17.1
1188
#32
8.10.5
7.67.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed