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Red37
499412.3
24713.3
553023.4
Blue117
571235.0
860833.7
7024.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43120010015020037117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#13
23.40.7
24.924.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.8
End2.2
blue by 11.6
35.00.2
35.635.8
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
247
#35
13.30.7
11.811.1
Auto8.1
Teleop2.8
End2.5
blue by 20.4
8608
#12
33.70.2
39.539.7
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Third
4994
#27
12.30.7
11.010.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 12.2
70
#19
24.60.2
24.224.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed