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Red75
499412.3
571235.0
283417.2
Blue59
99927.4
566020.4
81517.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75420501001507559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.1
35.835.9
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 14.7
5660
#21
20.41.0
19.320.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
2834
#18
17.20.1
17.417.5
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End4.5
blue by 0.5
815
#17
17.71.0
17.017.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Third
4994
#27
12.30.1
10.310.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End2.4
red by 5.0
9992
#40
7.41.6
8.410.0
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed