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Red50
561219.4
5124.6
92429.2
Blue76
50328.8
24713.3
436227.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions588002003004005006007005076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#20
24.60.7
24.724.0
Auto12.2
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 4.2
503
#22
28.80.4
30.931.4
Auto12.6
Teleop13.9
End2.3
Second
5612
#33
19.40.7
21.220.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4
blue by 8.0
4362
#26
27.40.4
27.427.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End3.5
Third
9242
#38
9.20.7
9.18.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 4.1
247
#35
13.30.4
11.111.5
Auto8.1
Teleop2.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned