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Red83
546042.2
24525.5
361814.4
Blue113
6736.3
553023.4
353931.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910205015020083113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.1
40.540.5
Auto14.1
Teleop27.5
End0.6
red by 5.9
67
#1
36.30.2
34.434.6
Auto9.8
Teleop20.9
End5.7
Second
245
#30
25.50.1
26.826.7
Auto7.6
Teleop16.4
End1.5
blue by 6.0
31.50.2
32.632.8
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End3.3
Third
3618
#31
14.40.1
14.414.4
Auto6.9
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 9.0
5530
#13
23.40.2
23.223.4
Auto6.3
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed80%Ensemble oddsEarned