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Red101
7024.6
353428.1
233731.4
Blue71
860833.7
332225.5
168425.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9310405015020025030010171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.41.0
33.134.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.9
End3.4
blue by 2.4
8608
#12
33.71.8
39.737.9
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Second
3534
#11
28.11.0
27.928.9
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End2.6
red by 2.1
1684
#25
25.91.8
23.822.0
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End1.2
Third
70
#19
24.61.0
24.425.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End4.6
blue by 0.9
3322
#16
25.51.8
28.927.1
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed