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Red40
49426.9
150214.1
99927.4
Blue77
370726.9
6824.7
566020.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528302040601001201401604077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#7
26.91.2
27.226.0
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 0.1
3707
#10
26.90.8
29.028.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.1
Second
1502
#37
14.11.2
16.315.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 10.6
68
#23
24.70.8
22.121.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
Third
9992
#40
7.42.1
10.07.9
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End0.3
blue by 13.0
5660
#21
20.40.8
20.319.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed