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Red97
566020.4
5124.6
546042.2
Blue61
860833.7
370726.9
99975.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957502040601201401609761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.20.8
39.840.5
Auto14.1
Teleop27.5
End0.6
red by 8.5
8608
#12
33.71.8
36.334.5
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End4.5
Second
51
#20
24.60.8
24.024.8
Auto12.2
Teleop10.1
End2.3
blue by 2.3
3707
#10
26.91.8
28.226.4
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.1
Third
5660
#21
20.40.8
19.520.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 14.6
9997
#36
5.73.0
8.85.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsEarned