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Red57
7024.6
99927.4
50328.8
Blue47
24525.5
654819.6
705625.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629002040801001201401605747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#22
28.80.3
29.829.5
Auto12.6
Teleop13.9
End2.3
red by 2.9
7056
#28
25.82.1
27.425.3
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End1.1
Second
70
#19
24.60.3
24.323.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End4.6
blue by 1.0
245
#30
25.52.1
28.926.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.4
End1.5
Third
9992
#40
7.40.6
7.97.4
Auto4.4
Teleop2.3
End0.3
blue by 12.2
6548
#34
19.62.1
21.619.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed