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Red35
778414.3
366711.1
561219.4
Blue75
584326.3
499412.3
361814.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565202040801001203575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#33
19.41.6
21.019.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4
blue by 6.9
26.31.6
23.124.6
Auto10.3
Teleop15.0
End1.0
Second
7784
#29
14.31.6
16.014.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Level
3618
#31
14.41.6
12.914.4
Auto6.9
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Third
3667
#39
11.11.6
12.711.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
blue by 1.3
4994
#27
12.31.6
10.812.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed