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Red58
283417.2
999419.5
213725.3
Blue78
332225.5
612014.4
353931.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59840501001502005878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.0
25.225.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.4
blue by 6.3
31.50.3
32.332.6
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End3.3
Second
9994
#24
19.50.1
16.716.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.2
End2.6
blue by 6.0
3322
#16
25.50.3
26.426.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Third
2834
#18
17.20.0
16.816.7
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End4.5
red by 2.8
6120
#14
14.40.3
14.014.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned75%Ensemble oddsEarned