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Red40
6824.7
50328.8
499412.3
Blue87
353428.1
546042.2
213725.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75117501001502004087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#22
28.82.3
33.731.4
Auto12.6
Teleop13.9
End2.3
blue by 13.4
42.21.9
43.241.3
Auto14.1
Teleop27.5
End0.6
Second
68
#23
24.72.3
26.223.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End2.8
blue by 3.4
3534
#11
28.11.9
29.227.3
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End2.6
Third
4994
#27
12.32.3
13.210.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 12.9
25.31.9
28.226.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned