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Red63
721119.5
54824.9
132216.7
Blue95
776935.1
917620.2
170132.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59970501506395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#11
24.90.2
23.623.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.0
End2.8
blue by 10.2
35.10.8
33.133.9
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End2.5
Second
7211
#18
19.50.2
18.718.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 13.0
32.50.8
30.631.4
Auto10.7
Teleop20.3
End1.6
Third
1322
#17
16.70.2
16.016.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 3.5
9176
#23
20.20.8
19.720.5
Auto10.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed