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Red32
82807.3
543631.2
36192.6
Blue63
567625.4
317525.4
917620.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527602040601001201403263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#25
31.21.5
37.135.6
Auto9.0
Teleop19.0
End3.2
red by 5.8
25.40.2
22.422.2
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End1.6
Second
8280
#26
7.31.5
9.27.6
Auto5.0
Teleop0.3
End2.0
blue by 18.1
5676
#12
25.40.2
26.526.3
Auto9.4
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Third
3619
#33
2.61.5
3.62.1
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
blue by 17.6
9176
#23
20.20.2
17.317.1
Auto10.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed