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Red84
168427.9
170132.5
721119.5
Blue94
214532.9
2743.0
557719.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791150501001502008494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.4
29.329.7
Auto10.7
Teleop20.3
End1.6
blue by 10.4
27
#16
43.00.9
43.442.5
Auto14.6
Teleop24.8
End3.6
Second
1684
#22
27.90.4
28.328.7
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End0.4
blue by 5.1
2145
#14
32.90.9
37.036.1
Auto13.8
Teleop17.2
End2.0
Third
7211
#18
19.50.4
18.018.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 0.2
19.40.9
19.518.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned