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Red74
317525.4
365617.0
364126.2
Blue88
54824.9
3341.3
749115.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69890501001507488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.6
25.125.8
Auto5.3
Teleop18.5
End2.4
blue by 15.1
33
#2
41.30.6
40.641.3
Auto10.5
Teleop27.8
End3.0
Second
25.40.6
22.222.8
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End1.6
red by 0.5
548
#11
24.90.6
22.623.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Third
3656
#31
17.00.6
17.217.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End-0.2
red by 1.2
7491
#27
15.80.6
15.115.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned