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Red86
481017.4
170132.5
30222.4
Blue42
82222.8
567625.4
584326.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7761020401001201408642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.7
29.730.5
Auto10.7
Teleop20.3
End1.6
red by 5.7
5843
#21
26.81.0
26.825.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End1.1
Second
302
#15
22.40.7
22.022.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 3.0
5676
#12
25.41.0
26.825.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Third
4810
#24
17.40.7
16.317.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
red by 14.6
8222
#37
2.81.0
3.32.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed