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Red64
543631.2
168427.9
686113.9
Blue109
590736.7
132216.7
150629.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85885060708010011064109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#25
31.20.9
33.632.8
Auto9.0
Teleop19.0
End3.2
blue by 5.5
5907
#13
36.71.7
36.037.7
Auto13.0
Teleop20.8
End2.9
Second
1684
#22
27.90.9
28.727.9
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End0.4
blue by 2.0
29.91.7
27.529.2
Auto8.5
Teleop18.0
End3.3
Third
6861
#34
13.90.9
14.513.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 2.8
1322
#17
16.71.7
15.317.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed