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Red36
6730.1
36192.6
481017.4
Blue95
170132.5
3341.3
171115.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710801502003695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#20
30.11.7
35.533.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End3.5
blue by 11.1
33
#2
41.30.6
44.043.4
Auto10.5
Teleop27.8
End3.0
Second
4810
#24
17.41.7
17.315.6
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End1.1
blue by 15.1
32.50.6
29.729.1
Auto10.7
Teleop20.3
End1.6
Third
3619
#33
2.61.7
5.13.4
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
blue by 12.4
1711
#10
15.00.6
18.217.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned