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Red146
917620.2
6730.1
3341.3
Blue119
317525.4
46924.8
353825.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1057650150146119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#2
41.30.8
41.242.1
Auto10.5
Teleop27.8
End3.0
red by 15.8
25.41.0
24.425.4
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End1.6
Second
67
#20
30.10.8
30.130.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.2
End3.5
red by 5.1
3538
#32
25.11.0
24.125.1
Auto13.2
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
9176
#23
20.20.8
20.221.0
Auto10.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 4.6
469
#29
24.81.0
23.724.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End1.7