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Red81
283222.0
132216.7
590736.7
Blue119
776935.1
170132.5
54824.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810105015081119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#13
36.70.1
36.036.2
Auto13.0
Teleop20.8
End2.9
red by 1.6
35.10.6
33.734.4
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End2.5
Second
22.00.1
21.321.4
Auto9.1
Teleop10.3
End2.5
blue by 10.6
32.50.6
31.231.8
Auto10.7
Teleop20.3
End1.6
Third
1322
#17
16.70.1
16.116.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End2.5
blue by 8.2
548
#11
24.90.6
23.624.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.0
End2.8