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Red115
721119.5
584326.8
546043.2
Blue126
168427.9
2743.0
150629.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94111050150200115126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.4
42.442.8
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End0.7
red by 0.2
27
#16
43.00.6
42.242.8
Auto14.6
Teleop24.8
End3.6
Second
5843
#21
26.80.4
26.026.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End1.1
blue by 3.1
29.90.6
29.129.7
Auto8.5
Teleop18.0
End3.3
Third
7211
#18
19.50.4
18.819.1
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 8.3
1684
#22
27.90.6
27.127.7
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End0.4