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Red117
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue91
365621.0
150629.8
213728.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129855010015020011791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.0
44.444.4
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 14.1
29.80.3
30.930.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End2.3
Second
34.10.0
34.734.7
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 5.9
28.20.3
29.429.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.1
End3.0
Third
32.20.0
32.832.8
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
red by 11.3
21.00.3
22.121.9
Auto7.5
Teleop13.5
End-0.0