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Red59
511422.3
516626.7
353615.1
Blue97
776933.8
170129.7
439143.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631380501001502005997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.4
27.126.7
Auto8.2
Teleop14.8
End3.7
blue by 16.8
43.51.2
46.445.1
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
Second
22.30.4
22.822.3
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 11.5
33.81.2
36.735.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Third
15.10.4
15.515.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 14.6
29.71.2
32.631.3
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed