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Red100
742125.5
463533.1
347840.4
Blue202
3352.9
2749.2
436250.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105173050150200250300100202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.5
41.641.1
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
blue by 12.5
33
#1
52.92.8
51.554.3
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
Second
33.10.5
34.333.8
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
blue by 17.3
50.42.8
49.051.8
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
Third
25.50.5
26.726.2
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
blue by 23.7
27
#1
49.22.8
47.850.6
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed