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Red109
246828.7
368340.4
11829.7
Blue94
347840.4
463533.1
742125.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114110608010012014016010994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.1
41.041.1
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
Level
40.40.2
41.541.3
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
118
#6
29.70.1
30.330.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
blue by 3.4
33.10.2
34.234.0
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
Third
28.70.1
29.329.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
red by 3.2
25.50.2
26.626.4
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0