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Red132
276744.4
207545.7
571240.4
Blue101
11829.7
368340.4
246828.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159102050200250132101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.6
48.047.4
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
red by 5.3
40.40.2
40.540.3
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
Second
44.40.6
46.746.1
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
red by 14.7
118
#6
29.70.2
29.929.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
40.40.6
42.742.1
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
red by 11.7
28.70.2
28.828.6
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2