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Red97
439143.5
170129.7
776933.8
Blue172
3352.9
2749.2
436250.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125133020030040050097172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.1
45.944.8
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
blue by 9.4
33
#1
52.93.5
41.745.3
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
Second
33.81.1
36.235.1
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
blue by 16.6
50.43.5
39.242.8
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
Third
29.71.1
32.130.9
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
blue by 19.5
27
#1
49.23.5
38.141.6
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed