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Red151
276744.4
207545.7
571240.4
Blue159
300553.9
14842.6
353832.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15412650100200250151159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.0
47.648.6
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
blue by 8.2
53.92.8
50.052.8
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
Second
44.41.0
46.347.3
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
red by 1.8
148
#4
42.62.8
38.741.5
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
Third
40.41.0
42.343.3
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
red by 7.9
32.52.8
28.631.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed