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Red80
742125.5
463533.1
347840.4
Blue151
11829.7
368340.4
246828.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118127608010014016080151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.42.3
43.341.0
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Level
40.42.2
45.447.6
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
Second
33.12.3
36.133.8
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
red by 3.4
118
#6
29.72.2
34.736.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
25.52.3
28.526.1
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
blue by 3.2
28.72.2
33.735.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed