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Red163
276744.4
207545.7
571240.4
Blue133
776933.8
170129.7
439143.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15911750100200250163133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.6
48.650.2
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
red by 2.2
43.51.5
44.846.2
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
Second
44.41.6
47.348.9
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
red by 10.6
33.81.5
35.136.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Third
40.41.6
43.344.9
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
red by 10.7
29.71.5
30.932.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed