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Red116
246828.7
368340.4
11829.7
Blue137
3352.9
2749.2
436250.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130145050100200250300350400116137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.2
47.447.1
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
blue by 12.5
33
#1
52.90.4
45.345.6
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
Second
118
#6
29.70.2
36.736.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
blue by 20.7
50.40.4
42.843.1
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
Third
28.70.2
35.635.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
blue by 20.6
27
#1
49.20.4
41.641.9
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsMissed