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Red101
213728.2
150629.8
365621.0
Blue115
168432.2
233734.1
546043.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82111050150200250101115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.2
29.530.7
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End2.3
blue by 14.1
43.91.2
39.640.8
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
28.21.2
27.929.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.1
End3.0
blue by 5.9
34.11.2
29.831.0
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Third
21.01.2
20.621.8
Auto7.5
Teleop13.5
End-0.0
blue by 11.3
32.21.2
27.929.1
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
54%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed