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Red112
742125.5
463533.1
347840.4
Blue75
353615.1
516626.7
511422.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1027505015020011275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.2
37.238.3
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
red by 13.6
26.71.0
28.928.0
Auto8.2
Teleop14.8
End3.7
Second
33.11.2
29.931.1
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
red by 10.7
22.31.0
24.623.6
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
25.51.2
22.323.5
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
red by 10.4
15.11.0
17.316.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed