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Red140
246828.7
368340.4
11829.7
Blue128
776933.8
170129.7
439143.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13212780100120140160180140128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.4
47.148.5
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
blue by 3.1
43.50.9
46.247.1
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
Second
118
#6
29.71.4
36.537.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
blue by 4.1
33.80.9
36.537.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Third
28.71.4
35.436.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
blue by 1.0
29.70.9
32.433.3
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed