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Red85
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue127
3352.9
2749.2
436250.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10615005020025030085127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.1
40.839.7
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
blue by 9.0
33
#1
52.90.2
45.645.4
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
Second
34.11.1
31.030.0
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
blue by 16.3
50.40.2
43.142.9
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
Third
32.21.1
29.128.1
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
blue by 17.0
27
#1
49.20.2
41.941.7
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed