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Red174
276744.4
207545.7
571240.4
Blue128
347840.4
463533.1
742125.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16693050150200250174128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.4
49.450.7
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
red by 5.3
40.42.3
38.340.7
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
44.41.4
48.149.5
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
red by 11.3
33.12.3
31.133.4
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
Third
40.41.4
44.145.5
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
red by 14.9
25.52.3
23.525.8
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed