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Red164
276744.4
207545.7
571240.4
Blue140
11829.7
368340.4
246828.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16513250100150200250164140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.4
50.751.1
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
red by 5.3
40.41.1
48.549.6
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
Second
44.40.4
49.549.8
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
red by 14.7
118
#6
29.71.1
37.939.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
40.40.4
45.545.8
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
red by 11.7
28.71.1
36.837.9
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed