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Red89
213728.2
150629.8
365621.0
Blue149
347840.4
463533.1
742125.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011405015020025030035089149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.0
31.531.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End2.3
blue by 10.6
40.42.3
40.743.0
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
28.20.0
30.029.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.1
End3.0
blue by 4.9
33.12.3
33.435.7
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
Third
21.00.0
22.722.7
Auto7.5
Teleop13.5
End-0.0
blue by 4.5
25.52.3
25.828.1
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed