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Red131
353832.5
14842.6
300553.9
Blue143
11829.7
368340.4
246828.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12011990100110130140150131143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.6
46.648.2
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
red by 13.5
40.42.1
43.946.0
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
Second
148
#4
42.61.6
35.336.9
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
red by 12.9
118
#6
29.72.1
33.335.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
32.51.6
25.226.8
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
red by 3.9
28.72.1
32.234.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsMissed80%Ensemble oddsMissed