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Red139
439143.5
170129.7
776933.8
Blue79
347840.4
463533.1
742125.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12312805010015020025030013979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.0
45.246.2
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
red by 3.1
40.42.4
45.843.3
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
33.81.0
35.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
red by 0.7
33.12.4
38.536.1
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
Third
29.71.0
31.432.4
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
red by 4.2
25.52.4
30.928.5
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
100%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed87%Ensemble oddsMissed