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Red166
276744.4
207545.7
571240.4
Blue169
3352.9
2749.2
436250.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611750100200166169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.72.5
45.147.6
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
blue by 7.2
33
#1
52.93.3
38.441.7
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
Second
44.42.5
43.846.3
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
blue by 6.0
50.43.3
35.939.2
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
Third
40.42.5
39.842.3
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
blue by 8.8
27
#1
49.23.3
34.738.1
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsMissed