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Red139
353832.5
14842.6
300553.9
Blue86
168432.2
233734.1
546043.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128965015020013986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.91.8
48.250.0
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
red by 10.0
43.91.7
37.435.7
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
148
#4
42.61.8
36.938.7
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
red by 8.4
34.11.7
27.626.0
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Third
32.51.8
26.828.6
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
red by 0.3
32.21.7
25.724.1
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed