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Red111
439143.5
170129.7
776933.8
Blue97
365621.0
150629.8
213728.2
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1347905010015020011197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.3
46.245.9
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
red by 13.7
29.80.6
29.330.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End2.3
Second
33.80.3
36.536.2
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
red by 5.6
28.20.6
27.828.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.1
End3.0
Third
29.70.3
32.432.1
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
red by 8.7
21.00.6
20.521.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed79%Ensemble oddsMissed