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Red148
276744.4
207545.7
571240.4
Blue76
365621.0
150629.8
213728.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174815010015020025030014876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.1
51.151.2
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
red by 15.9
29.80.5
31.531.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End2.3
Second
44.40.1
49.849.9
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
red by 16.2
28.20.5
29.929.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.1
End3.0
Third
40.40.1
45.845.9
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
red by 19.4
21.00.5
22.722.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed