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Red130
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue124
11829.7
368340.4
246828.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101146050200250130124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.92.0
39.341.3
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 3.5
40.40.5
49.649.1
Auto11.8
Teleop27.4
End1.2
Second
34.12.0
29.631.5
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 4.4
118
#6
29.70.5
39.038.5
Auto9.1
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
32.22.0
27.729.6
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
red by 3.6
28.70.5
37.937.4
Auto7.1
Teleop21.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed