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Red172
436250.4
2749.2
3352.9
Blue135
347840.4
463533.1
742125.5
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162111050200250300172135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
52.92.0
48.950.9
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
red by 12.5
40.41.6
43.044.5
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
Second
50.42.0
46.448.4
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
red by 17.3
33.11.6
35.737.2
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
Third
27
#1
49.22.0
45.247.2
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
red by 23.7
25.51.6
28.129.6
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed